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Today β€” 7 November 2026Main stream
Before yesterdayMain stream

Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms

30 October 2026 at 16:35
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

Β© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Prediction platforms like Polymarket are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine.

Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms

30 October 2026 at 15:10
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

Β© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Prediction platforms like Polymarket are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine.

Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election

The company said it was looking into hundreds of new accounts that had placed wagers in two markets related to the election on Tuesday.

Β© Chris McGrath/Getty Images

Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, speaking at a Likud event in Jerusalem on Wednesday.

Its Investors Say Kalshi Is Worth $40 Billion. Is an I.P.O. Next?

29 October 2026 at 11:45
The prediction market raised $1 billion in a new funding round and landed a market value almost double that of rival Polymarket. But legal challenges to its business persist.

Β© Jeenah Moon/Reuters

Tarek Mansour, the C.E.O. of Kalshi, said there had β€œbeen discussions” about a public offering for the company.

Its Investors Say Kalshi Is Worth $40 Billion. Is an I.P.O. Next?

29 October 2026 at 11:45
The prediction market raised $1 billion in a new funding round and landed a market value almost double that of rival Polymarket. But legal challenges to its business persist.

Β© Jeenah Moon/Reuters

Tarek Mansour, the C.E.O. of Kalshi, said there had β€œbeen discussions” about a public offering for the company.
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