How We Model Election Results With the Needle NYT - Home Page By: Nate Cohn， James Surdam， June Kim， Amílcar Cariño Charlemagne， Laura Bult and Claire Hogan 3 November 2026 at 10:03 Our live election night forecast is known as “the Needle.” Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times, explains how it works.
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